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Reef Fish and Climate Change: A Case Study Maintained by FAO-FI  
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A Case Study: Great Barrier Reef, Australia
 
Lemon damselfish (Pomacentrus moluccensis) synchronised over hundreds of kilometresThe synchronizing effects of climate on population dynamics have been observed for a range of land animals and marine species such as the Californian sardine but such patterns had not previously been documented in coral reef systems because of a lack of long-term and broad scale data. We now have the first evidence that variability in coral reef fish populations is strongly linked to a global climatic phenomenon, the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which refers to changes in the ocean and atmosphere that result in a body of unusually warm water building up in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. El Niño events cause changes in water temperatures, wind speeds and patterns of water circulation on the east coast of Australia. All of these parameters can affect the breeding success of reef fishes and survival of their larvae. Conditions during ENSO events in 1995 and 1998, for example, were good for small reef fishes. Many other reef organisms with similar life cycles probably benefited as well. One year after El Niño events, the researchers at the Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS) documented an increase in damselfish populations on many reefs of the Great Barrier Reef (GBR).
Photo title: Lemon damselfish (Pomacentrus moluccensis) synchronised over hundreds of kilometres
Photo credit: AIMS Long Term Monitoring Unit
 
What this Research Means
 
According to some climate models, ENSO-like conditions will become increasingly common. It now appears that reef fish populations are affected by climate. Then we may expect that
  • any changes in the nature of ENSO regimes due to global climate change will affect coral reef fishes
  • distant populations change in synchrony
  • while conditions are favourable, fish will do well across large parts of the GBR, but when conditions are unfavourable, fish populations across large numbers of reefs will be affected simultaneously
  • localized extinctions will be more likely, particularly for small populations of short lived species
Further studies on coral reefs in other parts of the world are needed.

Based on Cheal AJ, Delean S, Sweatman H and Thompson AA (2007) Spatial synchrony in coral reef fish populations and the influence of climate. Ecology 88 (1): 158-169.
Counting fish on the outer reef, along a 50m transect
Photo title: Counting fish on the outer reef, along a 50m transect
Photo credit: AIMS Long Term Monitoring Unit
 
 
 
 
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Emissions cuts needed today to stop reef die-back
by Lane,S., AM on Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) Radio
14 December 2007

Even if the Bali meeting does agree on new, more aggressive cuts to carbon emissions, a group of eminent marine scientists says it may be too late to save the Great Barrier Reef and other reefs around the world. The 17 scientists, led by an Australian professor, say there's only one way to avoid massive marine dieback to coral reefs and that's to cut carbon emissions now. The group has published a paper about its predictions in today's edition of Science Magazine. Download the story in Audio or MP3 format from the ABC Radio website.
Read more at http://www.abc.net.au/am/content/2007/s2118855.htm.
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